JAPON PERSPECTIVE
CHINA: THE 2026 TWO SESSIONS LAUNCH THE 15TH FIVE-YEAR PLAN UNDER THE SIGN OF TECHNOLOGICAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY
AI-generated content — Analyses are produced by artificial intelligence from press articles. They may contain errors or biases. Learn more
DOMINANT ANGLE
Maximum security vigilance in the face of rising Chinese military and technological power.
ANALYSIS
Nikkei Asia analyzes the 15th five-year plan as a signal of an acceleration in China's strategy of regional domination. NHK devotes coverage to PLA exercises near Taiwan and air incidents with Japan. Defense Minister Koizumi justified the record budget of 9 trillion yen by the most severe post-war security environment.
The technological angle concerns Tokyo. The Yomiuri Shimbun notes that China's objective of 70% semiconductor self-sufficiency threatens Japan's position in the global supply chain. The dilemma is obvious: Japan has joined American restrictions but fears Beijing's retaliation, its primary trading partner.
The Asahi Shimbun offers a more nuanced analysis, emphasizing that the growth target of approximately 5% reveals internal difficulties, which could destabilize the region if the Party compensates with more aggressive nationalism.
KEY POINTS
- Chinese military budget confirming worst post-war security environment
- Dilemma for Japanese semiconductors: American restrictions vs Chinese retaliation
- Fear that Chinese economic difficulties will translate into aggressive foreign nationalism
COGNITIVE BIASES IDENTIFIED
Quasi-systematic analysis of China from the angle of military threat