UNITED STATES PERSPECTIVE

Washington experiences the announcement as a new chapter in the presidential saga: Trump proclaims victory, his administration quantifies the odds, and skeptics wait for the signature. On Truth Social, the president says the deal is 'scheduled to get signed tomorrow' — his 80th birthday — and that 'immediately after it is signed, the Hormuz Strait is OPEN TO ALL.' He hammers the difference with the 2015 deal he had quit: his text would be 'A WALL TO NO NUCLEAR WEAPON,' and 'no money will exchange hands,' a direct jab at Obama's JCPOA. But the American press refuses the hype. The New York Times headlines that, with a deal seemingly close, the United States faces 'an Iran more willing to withstand pressure.' Bloomberg reports the administration sees itself '80-85% confident' of a signing, while noting that the plan 'hinges on a risky scheme of sequenced rewards.' The details cool the mood: the deal would establish only a 60-day ceasefire, followed by a new round of negotiations on nuclear and economic issues, with Iran's missile program left out. The domestic context weighs: every announcement pushes oil down and eases political pressure on the White House, feeding suspicion of announcement-driven diplomacy. And the sequence is wild — one outlet reports the US military was 'three hours' from a strike when Trump announced the deal, after he himself had promised to hit 'VERY HARD' hours earlier.