Top: "Go get your own oil": the energy crisis hits the entire world — 82/100
Read the analysis →Notably: Energy rationing in Asia: the contagion has begun
Read the analysis →This week: By April 20, 2026, at least one Southeast Asian country will declare a national energy eme…
Read the analysis →— ACTE 01
On these topics, newsrooms around the world don't tell the same story. The higher the score, the wider the gap between angles.
— ACTE 02
What mainstream media misses, what's changing in their narrative, and the weak signals worth tracking.
The Philippines declared a state of calamity in Agusan del Sur province. Indonesia mandates remote work on Fridays. Pakistan rations LPG. Three countries, three simultaneous measures, zero Western coverage. This is not a coincidence — it is the same crisis (Hormuz) hitting three Gulf-dependent economies. If the strait remains closed for 2 more weeks, rationing will escalate from provincial to national. The word 'rationing' could enter the European vocabulary by May.
Nigeria, South Africa, and Cameroon report a 40% increase in cyberattacks against critical infrastructure: energy, banking, telecoms. Premium Times ([source](https://premiumtimesng.com)) and News24 ([source](https://news24.com)) are documenting it. Western media are not. Sub-Saharan Africa has 400 million mobile banking users — if a Nigerian bank goes down, the shockwave is systemic. Nobody is watching.
— ACTE 03
4 predictions this week. And the full track record: —% confirmed on 0 predictions.
The Philippines (provincial state of calamity), Indonesia (mandatory remote work), and Pakistan (LPG rationing) have taken local measures.
The Daily Sabah's narrative shift (neutral to critical) this week follows exactly the pre-mediation playbook Erdogan used for the Russia-Ukraine conflict in…
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Intellexa — a surveillance tool manufactured in Greece — has been used by at least 7 EU member states according to Ekathimerini ([source](https://ekathimerini.com)). The story is covered exclusively by Greek media. If the European Parliament opens a formal investigation (MEPs have already requested one), this is the next Pegasus — but on an intra-European scale. The silence of French, German, and Italian media is troubling: their governments may be implicated.
The Daily Sabah shifted from 'US strikes continue' on Monday to 'Hegseth's reckless war management' by Thursday. The word 'reckless' had never been used by pro-government Turkish media to describe American operations.
Erdogan is positioning himself as a mediator — the same playbook used for the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022. Criticizing American war management legitimizes Turkish diplomatic intervention.
The Sydney Morning Herald published 3 editorials in one week questioning the American security umbrella — unprecedented since AUKUS was created in 2021. The word 'kleptocracy' appeared for the first time in an SMH editorial to describe the Trump administration.
If Trump abandons NATO, what is AUKUS worth? Australia, 15,000 km from Washington, is beginning to envision a Plan B — and saying so publicly.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll shifted the framing: 66% of Americans want the war to end. Media went from 'operations continue' to 'crisis deepens' in 48 hours.
When two-thirds of the population wants out, 'neutral' journalism is no longer tenable. The US press is pivoting to the 'at what cost' framing — the same turn it took in 2006 on Iraq.
Silent evacuations are underway.
Trajectory: $482 to $720 in 3 weeks (+50%).