DOMINANT ANGLE
Brasília is analyzing a parliamentary shift in Sweden where the left-wing opposition is ahead of the outgoing coalition by just one seat, while the scheduled entry of the far right into the government, promised by Ulf Kristersson before the vote, is now in limbo.
Dominant angle identified — does not reflect unanimity of this country’s media
KEY POINTS
- 01
According to the electoral authority's projection cited by the Folha, the center-left bloc would win 175 of the 349 seats, compared to 174 for the right-wing coalition, based on 4,853 of the 6,312 constituencies counted.
- 02
Exit polls from SVT (51.3% to 46.8%) and TV4 (51.3% to 47%), cited by G1, point to a left-wing lead.
- 03
The Sweden Democrats (SD) would decline for the first time since entering Parliament in 2010 and lose their status as the country's second-largest party, according to G1.
ANALYSIS
Brasília, Tuesday, September 15, 2026. The Brazilian press is detailing a Swedish election of extreme narrowness. According to the projection of the electoral authority cited by the Folha de S.Paulo, the center-left opposition bloc, led by social democrat Magdalena Andersson, would obtain 175 of the 349 seats in the Riksdag, against 174 for the right-wing government coalition of Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson — a lead of just one seat, calculated from 4,853 of the 6,312 constituencies counted and more than 6 million of the approximately 8 million expected votes. The turnout rate exceeds 80%, a level illustrated by G1 with a photo of a ballot being deposited in a ballot box at the Malmö town hall on Sunday.
G1 arrives at a similar reading based on exit polls from SVT and TV4: 51.3% for the left against 46.8% (SVT) or 47% (TV4) for the right. The fact that the two Brazilian titles highlight is the decline of the Sweden Democrats (SD), the far-right party born out of neo-Nazi movements: it would lose for the first time since its entry into Parliament in 2010, and would cease to be the country's second-largest political force. An elected member of the party, Julia Kronlid, concedes to AFP, cited by G1: "Claro que é um pouco decepcionante deixar de ser o segundo maior partido nessas pesquisas. Mas ainda não terminou, isso ainda pode mudar. Nas últimas eleições, houve mudanças mais tarde durante a noite" — a reminder that the final result remains pending, according to the two titles, until the counting of foreign votes scheduled for Wednesday, September 16.
The Folha recalls the institutional stakes: before the vote, Kristersson had accepted integrating members of the SD into his cabinet in the event of re-election, a composition he deemed necessary for the stability of his government — a scenario that the narrow left-wing lead could now block. The Brazilian press also notes the fragmentation of the victorious camp, four parties that disagree more than they agree, particularly on the taxation of billionaires and the construction of new nuclear power plants, which complicates the formation of a government even in the event of a confirmed victory.
Andersson, 59, nicknamed "Magda" in Sweden, is attempting a return to power after leaving it in 2022. The final results, the Folha specifies, still depend on the counting of foreign votes.
