IMF raises 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, but warns of a 'highly uneven' outlook between AI winners and energy importers

South Africa

3 SOURCES

Budget and financial reading · 4 of 15 countries

Pretoria is measuring the IMF's verdict against its own trajectory: stable South African growth at 1%, far from the AI boom, and a call for budget discipline that resonates with its debt.

Argentina

4 SOURCES

Downward revisions in Latin America · 4 of 15 countries

Buenos Aires is weighing the IMF's verdict based on its own case: the national growth forecast cut to 2.1% and the third review of the program remaining open carry more weight than the global figure of 3.1%.

Brazil

2 SOURCES

Downward revisions in Latin America · 4 of 15 countries

Brasília takes a regional lesson from the IMF report: Latin America, revised downward to 2.3%, is barely benefiting from the AI boom that is supporting global growth at 3.1%.

Chile

3 SOURCES

Downward revisions in Latin America · 4 of 15 countries

Santiago is deciphering the IMF's perspectives through its own economy: the global increase of 3.1 percent takes a back seat to Chile's third decline in 2026, which has been reduced to 0.6 percent, one of the lowest in South America.

Colombia

2 SOURCES

Downward revisions in Latin America · 4 of 15 countries

Bogotá takes away from the IMF report a primarily national reading: the downward revision of Colombian growth, tempered by a regional comparison that remains favourable.

Ethiopia

2 SOURCES

Economies revised upward · 5 of 15 countries

Addis Ababa retains from the IMF its national projection, a growth of 9.2% in 2026, and immediately nuances it with inflation and the current deficit, more than with the global map of AI winners.

France

incl. 1 state outlet

3 SOURCES

Budget and financial reading · 4 of 15 countries

Paris takes away from the IMF less the growth revision than the lesson of budgetary discipline addressed to advanced economies, and to France in particular, on the eve of the 2027 budget review.

Ghana

3 SOURCES

Economies revised upward · 5 of 15 countries

Accra is savoring the IMF's endorsement: the revision to 5.7% of 2026 growth is presented as validation of the economic stabilization undertaken since the 2022 crisis.

Malaysia

2 SOURCES

Budget and financial reading · 4 of 15 countries

Kuala Lumpur has taken note of Bangkok's warning of a brutal correction in the AI market, relayed by the Malaysian press as the main risk to global financial stability.

Nepal

2 SOURCES

Host country and delegations in Bangkok · 2 of 15 countries

Kathmandu is approaching the IMF and World Bank assemblies from a financing perspective: for the Nepalese press, the issue is the agenda of its Finance Minister in Bangkok, not the global growth figure.

Nigeria

2 SOURCES

Economies revised upward · 5 of 15 countries

Abuja weighs in on the forecast of 4.2% in light of the cost of living: growth exists, but Nigerian households do not feel its effects.

Pakistan

3 SOURCES

Budget and financial reading · 4 of 15 countries

Islamabad gauges the IMF's verdict in light of its own trajectory: 3.5% growth in 2026-27, below the government's 4% target, and a Finance Minister who promises to pursue reforms.

Netherlands

2 SOURCES

Economies revised upward · 5 of 15 countries

The Netherlands takes from the IMF report what affects its economy: Dutch growth revised up to 1.5% thanks to the German rebound and AI, but inflation that energy keeps high.

Thailand

3 SOURCES

Host country and delegations in Bangkok · 2 of 15 countries

Bangkok is deciphering the IMF's verdict in light of its own economy: 2.1% growth, imported energy, debt cost, and showcase of a host country.

Venezuela

4 SOURCES

Economies revised upward · 5 of 15 countries

Caracas is deciphering the IMF's perspectives through its own set of figures: 5% growth in 2026, 7% in 2027, and the country's return to the Fund's forums after seven years of rupture.