Brazil: Flávio Bolsonaro edges ahead of Lula in the first round, runoff set for October 25

Germany

incl. 2 state outlets

4 SOURCES

Surprise at the Polls · 9 of 26 countries

Berlin is deciphering a "Rechtsrutsch" that goes beyond the presidential election: the Bolsonarist right is making progress everywhere, and Lula has no other choice but to start campaigning again.

Argentina

4 SOURCES

Latin American Neighborhood · 8 of 26 countries

Buenos Aires is deciphering the first round of the Brazilian election through the prism of Javier Milei: the advance of Flávio Bolsonaro is being welcomed as a possible new regional ally, with caution ahead of the second round.

Australia

3 SOURCES

Geopolitical Analysis: Washington, Beijing and the Region · 9 of 26 countries

Canberra takes away from the first round of the Brazilian election a shift to the right in Latin America, driven by the influence of Donald Trump, rather than a duel between two men.

Belgium

3 SOURCES

Surprise at the Polls · 9 of 26 countries

Brussels is holding onto the surprise of the polls: a first round that defies the surveys and puts Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of Lula.

Brazil

3 SOURCES

Latin American Neighborhood · 8 of 26 countries

Brasília is deciphering a first round that upsets the PT's calendar: the Bolsonarist wave puts Flávio ahead of Lula and opens a crisis in the presidential camp before the second round on 25 October.

Canada

incl. 1 state outlet

2 SOURCES

Geopolitical Analysis: Washington, Beijing and the Region · 9 of 26 countries

Ottawa sees this first round in Brazil as a battle for influence between Washington and Beijing, where Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, an ally of Donald Trump, will face off against Lula on October 25.

Chile

3 SOURCES

Latin American Neighborhood · 8 of 26 countries

Santiago is deciphering a first round that defies the polls: Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula by two points and the Liberal Party prevails in Congress, which makes the second round on October 25 uncertain.

Colombia

3 SOURCES

Latin American Neighborhood · 8 of 26 countries

Bogotá is gauging the first round of the Brazilian election in light of the "derechización" of the continent: after Colombia and Peru, can Lula's Brazil resist the conservative wave?

Denmark

3 SOURCES

Surprise at the Polls · 9 of 26 countries

Copenhagen is holding onto the electoral surprise: the first round has upset the polls and the Danish press already sees Flávio Bolsonaro as the favorite over a struggling Lula.

Ecuador

4 SOURCES

Latin American Neighborhood · 8 of 26 countries

Quito sees the first round of the Brazilian election as a test of the regional conservative wave, while also projecting its own divide with the support of figures from the Revolución Ciudadana for Lula.

Spain

3 SOURCES

Surprise at the Polls · 9 of 26 countries

Madrid is holding its breath over the surprise election results: a first round that defied the polls, with Flávio Bolsonaro in the lead and Lula caught off guard ahead of the second round on 25 October.

United States

5 SOURCES

Geopolitical Analysis: Washington, Beijing and the Region · 9 of 26 countries

The United States is gauging the first round of the Brazilian election in light of the wave of victories of candidates allied to Trump in Latin America, and the upset of polls that had Lula winning.

France

incl. 1 state outlet

5 SOURCES

Surprise at the Polls · 9 of 26 countries

Paris is first surprised: a first round that upsets the polls and puts the son of Jair Bolsonaro in a position to regain power against a Lula forced to relaunch his campaign.

Hungary

3 SOURCES

Geopolitical Analysis: Washington, Beijing and the Region · 9 of 26 countries

Budapest is first taking note of the electoral surprise: Flávio Bolsonaro is defying polls that favored Lula and has become the favorite for a second round set for October 25.

Italy

3 SOURCES

Geopolitical Analysis: Washington, Beijing and the Region · 9 of 26 countries

Rome is reeling from the surprise of the first round, which upended the polls: Flávio Bolsonaro, the "Trump-like candidate", has emerged as the favourite for the runoff on 25 October, and the right is gaining ground in the Senate.

Mexico

4 SOURCES

Latin American Neighborhood · 8 of 26 countries

Mexico City is gauging the first round of the Brazilian election in terms of its own interests: a victory for Flávio Bolsonaro would threaten the Pemex-Petrobras agreements and make Brasília a direct competitor in the American market.

Nigeria

2 SOURCES

Surprise at the Polls · 9 of 26 countries

Abuja takes away from this first round a regional shift: the Nigerian press places Flávio Bolsonaro's breakthrough in the "right turn" that Donald Trump encourages in Latin America.

Norway

3 SOURCES

Geopolitical Analysis: Washington, Beijing and the Region · 9 of 26 countries

Oslo sees this first round as a tight duel between two personalities, where Flávio Bolsonaro's lead over Lula opens up a runoff on October 25 and brings Brasília closer to Washington.

Peru

5 SOURCES

Latin American Neighborhood · 8 of 26 countries

Lima is measuring the first round of the Brazilian election through news agency dispatches: Flávio Bolsonaro's lead over Lula and the progression of the right in the states are shaping an open second round on October 25.

Portugal

4 SOURCES

Surprise at the Polls · 9 of 26 countries

Lisbon is first taken aback by the surprise: a bolsonarism that the polls had not seen coming, with Lula struggling, and a second round set for October 25.

United Kingdom

3 SOURCES

Geopolitical Analysis: Washington, Beijing and the Region · 9 of 26 countries

London is interpreting a first round that defies the polls: the Bolsonarist right, strong in Congress, is the favourite going into the next round, while Lula is forced to relaunch his campaign.

Russia

incl. 2 state outlets

5 SOURCES

Geopolitical Analysis: Washington, Beijing and the Region · 9 of 26 countries

Moscow sees this first round as a choice of alignment: the BRICS and China with Lula, Washington and Donald Trump with Flávio Bolsonaro.

Sweden

3 SOURCES

Surprise at the Polls · 9 of 26 countries

Stockholm is deciphering a first round in Brazil that confirms the anticipated duel between Lula and Eduardo Bolsonaro, and categorizes it as part of the "right-wing wave" in Latin America.

Switzerland

2 SOURCES

Surprise at the Polls · 9 of 26 countries

Bern first retains the portrait of a country cut in two: evangelicals, desire for change and fear of Washington's influence are shaping a highly unpredictable runoff.

Uruguay

4 SOURCES

Latin American Neighborhood · 8 of 26 countries

Montevideo is measuring the surprise of the first round of the Brazilian election against the backdrop of the Trump axis and the conservative wave sweeping the region, with Flávio Bolsonaro leading ahead of the second round on October 25.

Venezuela

5 SOURCES

Geopolitical Analysis: Washington, Beijing and the Region · 9 of 26 countries

Caracas is eyeing the first round of the Brazilian election through the lens of Washington: Flávio Bolsonaro's breakthrough is seen as a test of Trump's influence in Latin America, between interference denounced by the PT and a lack of evidence according to the TSE.